PROLIFERATION CRISES

Credit: Un Photo / IAEA Greg Webb

Direct Talk: Preventing nuclear proliferation
Mark Fitzpatrick, 28 March 2017
Impact of Sanctions and Isolation measures with North Korea, Burma/Myanmar, Iran and Zimbabwe as Case Studies
Clara Portela, European Parliament, Directorate-General for External Policies, Policy Department, May 31, 2012, 37p.

DPRK

Size Estimates of DPRK’s Nuclear Devices
Tianran Xu, ONN, June 2023
Nuclear Risk Assessment Report – Korean Peninsula
Tianran Xu, Jaewoo Shin, Elin Bergner, ONN, June 2023
THE DPRK’S FIRST SOLID-PROPELLANT ICBM LAUNCH
Tianran XU, ONN, April 2023
North Korea’s fait accompli
Eric J. Ballbach, GERMAN INSTITUTE FOR INTERNATIONAL AND SECURITY AFFAIRS, October 2022
FACTORS RELATED TO PAST DPRK NUCLEAR TESTS
Open Nuclear Network, May 2022
Developments at the DPRK’s Punggye-ri Nuclear Weapon Test Site since December 2021
Katsuhisa Furukawa, Open Nuclear Network, 20 March 2022
January 2022: Missile Tests of the DPRK
Tianran Xu, Open Nuclear Network, February 2022
Constraints and Outlook: Future Deployment of DPRK Ballistic Missile Submarines
Xu Tianran, Open Nuclear Network, January 2022
Spies, Diplomats and Deceit: Exploring the persistent role of diplomatic missions in North Korea’s WMD proliferation and arms trafficking networks
Daniel Salisbury, Fellow at CSSS, King's College London, July 2021
New constructions at the Chamjin Missile Factory
Xu Tianran, Open Nuclear Network, July 2021
An arms control deal with North Korea? The good, the bad, the realistic
Ramon Pacheco Pardo, Brussel School of Governance, June 2021
Continued Construction at Yusang-ni missile base
Matthew Frank, Open Nuclear Network, July 2021
Ballistic Missile Submarines and Submarine-launched Ballistic Missiles of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea
Xu Tianran, Open Nuclear Network, April 2021
Joe Biden, the U.S. and the Challenges of Iran and North Korea
Policy Perspective, Benjamin Hautecouverture, Canadian Global Affairs Institute, February 2021
The 8th Congress of the Workers’ Party of Korea (1)
Open Nuclear Network, February 2021
Nouvel ICBM nord-coréen : retour sur la parade militaire du 10 octobre 2020
Observatoire de la dissuasion No.81, December 2020 (in French), Benjamin Hautecouverture, FRS
A look back on KEDO: the European involvement
Recherches & Documents No.20/2020, Benjamin Hautecouverture, FRS
Nuclear (e)motives: The KCNA’s English Language Output and Sentiment Patterns Regarding the Topic of Nuclear Weapons
Clayton Besaw, ONN, August 2020
Pyongyang’s Bomb Is Not As Advanced As You May Think, But It Can Get Scarier
Tianran Xu, ONN, July 2020
Corée du Nord: la reprise des essais balistiques entre réalité stratégique et crise sanitaire (in French)
Benjamin Hautecouverture, FRS, May 2020
A Tale of Two Missiles: Analysis of KCNA Reports on North Korea’s KN-23 and KN-24 Short-Range Ballistic Missiles
Tianran Xu and Jaewoo Shin, ONN, April 2020
From critical engagement to credible commitments: a renewed EU strategy for the North Korean proliferation crisis
Antoine Bondaz, EU Non-Proliferation and Disarmement Paper n°67, February 2020
Image Analysis of North Korea’s ICBMs for Countermeasures
Melissa Hanham, ONN, November 2019
North Korea’s Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles & Countermeasures
Melissa Hanham, ONN, November 2019
Countering Ballistic Missile Defence: North Korea’s Approach
Melissa Hanham, ONN, November 2019
North Korean Missiles: All Fired Up Again?
Joseph Dempsey, IISS, May 2019
North Korea as a Nuclear State
Benjamin Hautecouverture, Pouvoirs, n°167, Les deux Corées, November 2018, pp.81-94
“Seoul Goes Nuclear”: How South Korea Became a Nuclear Weapon State
Hanns Günther Hilpert and Oliver Meier, SWP Research Paper 5, September 2018, pp.31-35
No, the North Korean Nuclear Threat is not “Over”
Tomáš Valášek, Carnegie Europe, June 2018
Why must the sanctions against Pyongyang be strengthened?
Benjamin Hautecouverture, Note No.22/2017, 19 December 2017
Understanding the North Korea background and ways towards conflict de-escalation
Maurizio Martellini, Massimo Zucchetti, 6 December 2017
The increasing likelihood of war with North Korea
Mark Fitzpatrick, Politics and Strategy, The Survival Editors' Blog, 8 November 2017
The Challenge From North Korea Fostering Regional Security and Nonproliferation
The Challenge From North Korea, Fostering Regional Security and Nonproliferation, from International Institutions and Global Governance Program, Riccardo Alcaro / Ettore Greco, November 2017
Nuclear Test Reinforces North Korean Capabilities
Benjamin Rhode, IISS, September 2017
The secret to North Korea’s ICBM success
Michael Elleman , IISS Voices, August 14, 2017
North Korea’s Nuclear-Armed Missiles: Options for the US and its Allies in the Asia-Pacific
Michael Paul, Elisabeth Suh, German Institute for International and Security Affairs, August 2017
Korea-France First Strategic Dialogue: the DPRK Nuclear Crisis
Benjamin Hautecouverture, RINSA Forum, Vol. 49, May 2017, 4, pp.1-4
North Korea’s Cruise Missiles – Nascent Systems; Uncertain Capability
Benjamin Rhode, IISS, May 2017
North Korea Moves Closer to Missile that Could Strike the US
Benjamin Rhode, IISS, May 2017
China’s engagement of North Korea
Fei Su, Lora Saalman, February 2017
North Korea’s Nuclear Challenge: Lessons from the Cold War
Carlo Trezza, APLN, 31 October 2016
North Korea’s fifth nuclear test
Tariq Rauf, Commentary, 9 September 2016
What to do about North Korea
Mark Fitzpatrick, Joint US - Korea Academic Studies, New thinking on Diplomacy toward North Korea, 2014 Volume 25, 18p.
North Korea Tests International Resolve
John Swenson-Wright, Expert Comment, 1 April 2013, Chatham House
The challenge of implementing the new sanctions against North Korea
Lawrence Dermody, SIPRI Update, March 2013
Monitoring the Nuclear Weapons Situation on the Korean Peninsula
David Keir, Andreas Persbo, 14 March 2013, VERTIC Blog
DPRK Nuclear Test
Hassan Elbahtimy, Andreas Persbo, 14 February 2013, VERTIC Blog
North Korean Proliferation Challenges: The Role of the European Union
Mark Fitzpatrick, NP paper No. 18, June 2012, 16p.
North Korea as a Nuclear Power and the Prospects of its Control (in German)
Hans-Joachim Schmidt, HSFK Report 01/2012, April 2012, 45p.
North Korea’s nuclear test explosion, 2009
Vitaly Fedchenko, SIPRI Fact Sheet, 8 pp., December 2009

IRAN

L’impasse nucléaire iranienne : la non-prolifération au défi de crises multiples (French)
Héloïse FAYET, IFRI, May 2023
Relations Between Iran and the West are Crumbling
Daniel R DePetris, RUSI, March 2023
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, The Iran Nuclear Price Tag
Hanna Notte, VCDNP (for the Friedrich Ebert Stiftung), February 2023
Will the Iran Deal Be a Pillar of Stability or a Risky Gamble?
Baraa Shiban, RUSI, 8 April 2022
Turkey’s Perspective on Iran and the Question of Nuclear Enrichment
Ziya Meral, RUSI, 7 April 2022
AUKUS and Iran: a noteworthy entanglement
Ludovica Castelli, European Leadership Network, 23 February 2022
Biden should aim for better diplomacy with Iran, not a “better deal”
Esfandyar Batmanghelidj, Sahil Shah, European Leadership Network, 18 February 2022
Four Scenarios for the Iran Nuclear Deal
Riccardo Alcaro, Istituto Affari Internazionali, November 2021
Using ‘technical guarantees’ to restore and sustain the Iran nuclear deal
Esfandyar Batmanghelidj, Christopher Lawrence, Neema Nodoust and Sahil Shah, European Leadership Network, November 2021
Iran and US still far apart on reviving the JCPOA
John Krzyzaniak, IISS, August 2021
Das Nuklearabkommen und der neue iranische Präsident
Heinz Gärtner, IIP, August 2021 (in German)
Nucléaire iranien : Obstacles et enjeux d’un accord renouvelé entre Washington et Téhéran
(In French), Vincent Eiffling, GRIP, June 2021
Retour américain dans l’accord nucléaire iranien : enjeux pour l’Iran, les États-Unis et Israël
(in French) Vincent Eiffling, GRIP, April 2021
Ten lessons on the Iran nuclear deal’s verification and monitoring regime
Vertic, European Leadership Network, April 2021
Iran, Covid-19, sanctions and the nuclear issue
Benjamin Hautecouverture, FRS, June 2020
Iran on the Boil in the IAEA Boardroom: Russia, the West, and NPT Obligations
Mark Hibbs, Global Security Policy Brief, European Leadership Network, February 2020
The Role of Informal International Organizations in Resolving the Iranian Nuclear Crisis (2003–15)
Tom Sauer, 14 March 2019
Iran’s Missile Test: A Provocation, Not a Violation
Mark Fitzpatrick, IISS, December 2018
If the JCPOA Collapses: Implications for Nuclear Non-Proliferation and International Security
Maximilian Hoell, European Leadership Network, December 2018
Give up The Dream of a Grand Bargain: Why a Trump Can’t Strike a Deal with Iran
Albert Wolf, Commentary, 27 September 2018, RUSI
Weathering the Storm: Europe’s Iran Policy after America’s Withdrawal from the Nuclear Deal
Weathering the Storm: Europe’s Iran Policy after America’s Withdrawal from the Nuclear Deal, Riccardo Alcaro, May 2018
Are Iran’s Ballistic Missiles Designed to be Nuclear Capable?
Michael Elleman and Mark Fitzpatrick, IISS, February 2018
Time for Europe to put Iran’s missile programme in context
Tytti Ërastö, Commentary, SIPRI, October 30, 2017
The participation of the EU in the negotiation and implementation of the Iran nuclear agreement
András Windt
Iran’s ballistic missile programme: its status and the way forward
Paulina Izewicz, NP paper No.57, April 2017, 14pp.
Iran’s Ballistic Missile Programme: Its Status and the Way Forward
Paulina Izewicz, NP paper No.57, April 2017
Trumping Proliferation: From a one-off deal to a global standard
Lord Hannay of Chiswick, Thomas R. Pickering, December 06, 2016
Undermining JCPOA Not in Best Interest of Any Party
Pierre Goldschmidt, Iran Review, 20 July 2016
The great balancing act: EU policy choices during the implementation of the Iran deal
Tarja Cronberg, NP paper No.50, April 2016, 16pp.
Iran and the Possible Military Dimension: Case Closed?
Emil Dall, Aniseh Bassiri Tabrizi, Commentary, 10 December 2015
Ambiguous ambitions: The saga of the Islamic Republic of Iran and the international legal framework regulating weapons of mass destruction
Reza Lahidji, Background paper No.17/2015, September 2015
Effects of the P5+1 Nuclear Deal with Iran
Marcin Andrzej Piotrowski, Bulletin No. 74 (806), 23 July 2015
Out of the Comfort Zone: Russia and the Nuclear Deal with Iran
Patrycja Sasnal, Stanislav Secrieru, PISM Strategic File No.11 (74), 1 June, 2015, 7pp.
The Iran Deal: Enrichment and Reprocessing – An International Model?
Carlo Trezza, ELN, 2 June 2015
Towards and Beyond a Final Nuclear Deal with Iran
Ellie Geranmayeh, The International Spectator, 50/2, 19 June 2015, pp.1-7
Iran: It’s the Final Countdown
Cristina Varriale, BASIC Blog, 26 June 2015
Above and beyond: IAEA verifcation in Iran
Hugh Chalmers, Andreas Persbo, VERTIC Brief, No.23, 21 April 2015, 12pp.
Iran’s Nuclear Future
Peter Jenkins, Richard Dalton, Research Paper, Middle East and North Africa Programme, Chatham House, September 2014, 20p.
Le dernier délai pour l’Iran …et pour l’Ouest ? (in French)
Bart Smedts, e-Note 15, September 19, 2014, 4p. (in French)
Iran’s nuclear propensity: the probability of nuclear use
Thanos Dokos, NP paper No.38, March 2014, 16p
Tehran Calling: Understanding a New Iranian Leadership
Cornelius Adebahr, Carnegie Europe, January 2014, 46p.
The right to dual-use technologies and the case of Iran
Mark Fitzpatrick, The Non-Proliferation Monthly’s Editorial, August 2013
European Efforts to Solve the Conflict over Iran’s Nuclear Programme: How Has the European Union Performed?
Oliver Meier, NP paper No.27, February 2013, 22p.
Why Kenneth Waltz is Both Right & Wrong About the ‘Iranian Bomb’
Thanos Dokos, ELIAMEP Thesis, 2/2012, September 2012
Iran’s nuclear programme: civil and/or military goals?
Bart Smedts, Defense & Security Analysis, Volume 28, Issue 3, 2012
Avoiding the Unnecessary War – Myths and Reality of the West-Iran Nuclear Standoff
Riccardo Alcaro, IAI Working Papers no. 12, March 2012
The Iranian Nuclear Issue: Achieving a Win-Win Diplomatic Solution
Pierre Goldschmidt, EU Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Conference, February 4, 2012
Learning From a Troubled Experience – Transatlantic Lessons from the Nuclear Standoff with Iran (Paid Access)
Riccardo Alcaro , The International Spectator: Italian Journal of International Affairs vol. 46, no. 4, 2011
After Sanctions, Deter and Engage Iran
Andrew Parasiliti, in Survival: Global Politics and Strategy, vol. 52, no. 5, October–November 2010, pp. 13–20
The use of voluntary safeguards to build trust in states’ nuclear programmes: the case of Iran
James Acton & Joanna Little, VERTIC Verification Matters, No. 8, May 2007, 87 p.
Thinking inside the box: Exploring legal approaches to build confidence in Iran’s nuclear programme
Andreas Persbo, VERTIC Verification Matters, No. 7, May 2007, 34 p.

SYRIA

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