Launches updates

Ceres-2

An Unsuccessful Maiden Flight

descarga
111111

17/01/2026

On January 17, 2026, at 12:08 p.m., the Chinese private company Galactic Energy conducted the maiden flight of its new medium-class launch vehicle, CERES-2, from the Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center.1 This mission, which followed several months of preparation and numerous technical delays, represented a major strategic challenge for the Beijing-based firm. With a takeoff weight of approximately 100 tons, CERES-2 was designed to reach a new level of capability by quadrupling the performance of its predecessor, CERES-1. This new launch vehicle is based on a complex hybrid architecture, combining three solid-propellant stages for initial thrust and a liquid-propellant upper stage for precision orbital injection. The stated objective is to place up to 1,600 kg into low orbit, offering a flexible transport solution that can be deployed from mobile platforms to meet the growing demand for small and medium-sized satellite constellations.

For this test flight, the launch vehicle’s fairing stored a cluster of six commercial satellites intended for various telecommunications and observation applications.2 Among this cargo was the Lilac-3 satellite, an innovative unit with an ultra-flat design developed jointly by the Harbin Institute of Technology and Beijing University of Aeronautics. However, despite a nominal initial takeoff, a technical anomaly during the propulsion phase led to the failure of the mission and the loss of the payloads. This setback poses a major challenge for Galactic Energy, which has a particularly busy development schedule. The company is currently at a pivotal moment, marked by preparations for an initial public offering and the parallel design of Pallas-1, its future reusable liquid-propellant launch vehicle. This incident highlights the inherent complexity of implementing new flight architectures and ensuring the reliability of hybrid propulsion systems.

In a context of intensified global technological competition, mastering such launchers has become a priority for Beijing. While the United States is consolidating its lead thanks to a mature ecosystem combining NASA programs with SpaceX’s operational efficiency, China is seeking to structure its own private sector to reduce the load on state-owned Long March launchers. The reliability of medium-class launch vehicles such as CERES-2 is crucial to supporting the ambitious national goal of exceeding 100 launches in 2026. In response to this failure, Galactic Energy immediately launched a rigorous investigation to analyze telemetry data, identify the precise cause of the failure, and implement the necessary corrections. This phase of analysis and technical adjustment is part of the classic industrial learning cycle specific to high-performance space transportation.

Time

17/01/2026 – 12:08 pm

Launch Vehicule

CERES-2

Launch site

Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center
Launch Area 95A

Stages

4

Diameter

3.35 m

Launch mass

98 tons

1 Huaxia, ‘ Ceres-2 commercial carrier rocket fails in maiden flight’, January 17th 2026,https://english.news.cn/20260117/599e09db11fc45e8b1437ad8e27a08bf/c.html

2 Andrew Jones, ‘ China hit by dual launch failures as Long March 3B and Ceres-2 debut mission fail’ , January 17th 2026,https://spacenews.com/china-hit-by-dual-launch-failures-as-long-march-3b-and-ceres-2-debut-mission-fail/

Issue Briefs

The Hague Code of Conduct in the Middle East

The HCoC holds special significance in the Middle East as the region is fraught with the development of ballistic arsenals, the use of missiles on the battlefield and the proliferation of such systems towards both states and non-state actors. Moreover, several ballistic missile programmes have been closely associated with WMD acquisition.

Read More »
Research Papers

The use of the existing WMD free zones as an exemple and a potential Framework for further initiatives banning ballistic missiles

Taken as a wide-ranging notion, weapons of mass destruction (WMD) have not produced significant instruments in international security over time, UNSCR1540 being an exception. As such, there are no existing WMD free zones (WMDFZ) which can be used as examples and as potential frameworks for further initiatives banning ballistic missiles.

Read More »
Other publications

Overcoming current and future challenges linked to missile proliferation: Prospective analysis and possible ways forward for the HCoC

This report, written by the HCoC Youth Group, addresses four dimensions of missile proliferation: regional concerns, transfer to non-state actors, transformation of regulatory tools, and relations to space security. It studies in particular how these developments could impact the way the Hague Code of Conduct tackles missile proliferation and proposes ways forward.

Read More »