Ballistic Missile Developments in Asia-Pacific: Reducing Risk through Transparency and CBMs

BALLISTIC MISSILE DEVELOPMENTS IN ASIA-PACIFIC: REDUCING RISK THROUGH TRANSPARENCY AND CBMS

22-23 January 2025

Manila, Philippines

On 22-23 January 2025, the FRS in collaboration with the government of the Philippines hosted a regional seminar dedicated to Asia-Pacific. More than 50 participants representing 12 countries took part to this event.

AGENDA

Introduction

Mr Alexandre Houdayer, Secretary General, Fondation pour la Recherche stratégique (FRS)
Amb. Johann Brieger, Ambassador to the Philippines, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Austria
Amb. Massimo Santoro, Ambassador, EU Delegation in the Philippines
H.E. Charles C. Jose, Undersecretary for Multilateral Affairs and International Economic Relations, Department of Foreign Affairs of the Philippines

First session: Ballistic missiles in Asia-pacific: the landscape

Moderator: Ms Emmanuelle Maitre, Research Fellow, FRS

Ms Zuzanna Gwadera, Research Assistant and Programme Administrator, IISS (remotely)
Mr Javed Alam, Research Associate for the Nuclear Vertical at the Centre for Air Power Studies

Second session: Drivers of missile dissemination in the region and potential risks

Moderator: Mr Simon Menet, Research Fellow, Fondation pour la Recherche stratégique (FRS)

Prof. Mely Caballero-Anthony, Professor of International Relations and Head of the Centre for Non-Traditional Security (NTS) Studies at the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS), Nanyang Technological University (NTU)
Dr Kil Joo Ban, Assistant Professor, Korea National Diplomatic Academy
Ms Emmanuelle Maitre, Senior Research Fellow, Fondation pour la Recherche stratégique (FRS)

Third session: Confidence-building measures and missiles

Moderator: Ms Emmanuelle Maitre, Research Fellow, FRS

Amb. Álvaro Domingo Jara Bucarey, Ambassador, Embassy of Chile in Manila (Representative of HCoC Chair)
Ms Lioba Bammer, Representative of the HCoC Executive Secretariat, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Austria
Mr Alexandre Houdayer, Secretary General, Fondation pour la Recherche stratégique (FRS)

Fourth Session: Missile crisis simulation exercises

Mr Simon Menet, Research Fellow, Fondation pour la Recherche stratégique (FRS)
Ms Emmanuelle Maitre, Research Fellow, Fondation pour la Recherche stratégique (FRS)

Fifth session: Space developments and spread of dual-use technologies

Moderator: Ms Emmanuelle Maitre, Senior Research Fellow, Fondation pour la Recherche stratégique (FRS)

Prof. Setsuko Aoki, Professor of Law, Keio University Law School, Japan
Mr Alexandre Houdayer, Secretary General, FRS
Dr Yaries Mahardika Putro, Lecturer of International Law, Universitas Surabaya (UBAYA) (remotely)
Dr Joel Joseph S. Marciano, Jr., Director General, Philippine Space Agency

Sixth session: Nonproliferation and cooperation: finding the balance

Moderator: Mr Alexandre Houdayer, Secretary General, FRS

Ms. Karla Mae G. Pabeliña, Associate Fellow, Asia-Pacific Leadership Network
Ms Ida Scarpino, Political Affairs Officer, UNRCPD

Issue Briefs

The HCoC and Strategic Risk Reduction

As a multilateral instrument, the HCoC holds a particular place in a global architecture of measures that attempts to reduce the destabilising nature of ballistic missiles. By promoting transparency about policies and launches, it aims to limit the risk of misunderstanding, misinterpretation, and worst-case assessments.

6 June 2023

All publications

The HCoC and Latin America

Latin America is one of the regions with the highest level of support for the HCoC. This support reflects the historic commitment of the region in favour of disarmament and non-proliferation. The remaining four non-subscribing states – Bolivia, Brazil, Cuba and Mexico – have voiced concerns about the adoption of the Code outside the United Nations framework and its limited scope.

16 December 2022

All publications

The HCoC: current challenges and future possibilities

The Hague Code of Conduct (HCoC), currently the only game in town on its topic, marked its 10th anniversary in 2012. It has generated membership comfortably into three figures, and its supporters have tried valiantly to help it make progress. However, even its most enthusiastic admirers would concede that has not fulfilled the hopes and expectations of its founders when they gathered for the opening ceremony in November 2002.

1 December 2021

Supporting the Hague Code of Conduct

an FRS project funded by the European Union