Ballistic missile proliferation in the Middle East: What role for CBMs such as the HCoC?

17 May 2022

Dubai

On 17 May 2022, FRS experts met with a delegation of researchers and officials from the United Arab Emirates in Dubai (UAE). The meeting aimed at discussing about trends in missile proliferation in the region, the benefits of joining the Code for states of the region, the challenges facing the Code, as well as to exchange perspectives on dual-use technologies control.

AGENDA

09:00 – 10:15        Ballistic Proliferation and Security in the Middle East

  • Welcoming Address / Introductory Remarks: Levallois & EU Representative & Mr. Mohamed Baharoon
  • Moderator: Mohamed Baharoon
  • Key Issues:
  • Ballistic missile proliferation trends and dynamics in the region
  • Factor of proliferation and security challenges linked to the use of ballistic missile in regional conflicts
  • Mitigation strategies and perspectives

 

10:30 – 11:30        The Hague Code of Conduct (HCoC): a tool to regulate destabilizing weapons and promote peaceful uses?

  • Introductory Remarks: Alexandre Houdaye
  • Moderator: Sheikha Najla Alqassimi
  • Key Issues:
  • Contribution of the Code to international security
  • Being a Subscribing State: commitments and benefits
  • Day-to-day implementation of the Code
  • What opportunities for joining the Code? What constraints?

 

11:45 – 01:00        Enhancing security while fostering the peaceful uses of space & final remarks & final remarks

  • Introductory Remarks: Omran Sharaf
  • Moderator: Emmanuelle Maitre
  • Key Issues:
  • Dual-use nature of launching technologies
  • Current trends in space and developments in the Gulf
  • Interest of transparency and confidence building measures to promote the peaceful use of space.
Research Papers

The use of the existing WMD free zones as an exemple and a potential Framework for further initiatives banning ballistic missiles

Taken as a wide-ranging notion, weapons of mass destruction (WMD) have not produced significant instruments in international security over time, UNSCR1540 being an exception. As such, there are no existing WMD free zones (WMDFZ) which can be used as examples and as potential frameworks for further initiatives banning ballistic missiles.

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Research Papers

Origins and Development of the Hague Code of Conduct  

This paper recalls the state of ballistic missile proliferation at the time of the adoption of the Code, before delving into the genesis of the Code and especially the various reports and meetings that promoted the adoption of a supply-side multilateral instrument. It describes the conferences and diplomatic efforts that led to the Code in 2002. It also explains why the Code ended up the way it is today with modest ambitions but concrete outcomes.

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