Ballistic missile proliferation in the Middle East: What role for CBMs such as the HCoC? - HCoC

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Ballistic missile proliferation in the Middle East: What role for CBMs such as the HCoC? - HCoC

Supporting the Hague Code of Conduct

an FRS project funded by the European Union

Ballistic missile proliferation in the Middle East: What role for CBMs such as the HCoC?

17 May 2022

Dubai

On 17 May 2022, FRS experts met with a delegation of researchers and officials from the United Arab Emirates in Dubai (UAE). The meeting aimed at discussing about trends in missile proliferation in the region, the benefits of joining the Code for states of the region, the challenges facing the Code, as well as to exchange perspectives on dual-use technologies control.

AGENDA

09:00 – 10:15 Ballistic Proliferation and Security in the Middle East

Welcoming Address / Introductory Remarks: Levallois & EU Representative & Mr. Mohamed Baharoon
Moderator: Mohamed Baharoon
Key Issues:
Ballistic missile proliferation trends and dynamics in the region
Factor of proliferation and security challenges linked to the use of ballistic missile in regional conflicts
Mitigation strategies and perspectives

10:30 – 11:30 The Hague Code of Conduct (HCoC): a tool to regulate destabilizing weapons and promote peaceful uses?

Introductory Remarks: Alexandre Houdaye
Moderator: Sheikha Najla Alqassimi
Key Issues:

Contribution of the Code to international security
Being a Subscribing State: commitments and benefits
Day-to-day implementation of the Code
What opportunities for joining the Code? What constraints?

11:45 – 01:00 Enhancing security while fostering the peaceful uses of space & final remarks & final remarks

Introductory Remarks: Omran Sharaf
Moderator: Emmanuelle Maitre
Key Issues:

Dual-use nature of launching technologies
Current trends in space and developments in the Gulf
Interest of transparency and confidence building measures to promote the peaceful use of space.

October
2021

Research Papers

The HCoC and China

China is currently the main ballistic missile possessor and spacefaring nation which remains outside the Hague Code of Conduct against Ballistic Missile Proliferation (HCoC). This can be explained by China’s traditional opacity regarding its deployment of strategic missiles, but also its exports of ballistic systems or technologies abroad. This absence is nonetheless problematic for a regime based on voluntary transparency and confidence-building which aims at universality.

October
2022

Research Papers

Origins and Development of the Hague Code of Conduct

This paper recalls the state of ballistic missile proliferation at the time of the adoption of the Code, before delving into the genesis of the Code and especially the various reports and meetings that promoted the adoption of a supply-side multilateral instrument. It describes the conferences and diplomatic efforts that led to the Code in 2002. It also explains why the Code ended up the way it is today with modest ambitions but concrete outcomes.

October
2021

The HCoC and Southeast Asian States

Only three out of ten Southeast Asian states have joined the HCoC to date (the Philippines, Cambodia and Singapore). This limited rate is noteworthy as Southeast Asia is increasingly concerned by the ongoing ballistic missile competition in broader Asia. Moreover, the region is actively investing to benefit from space technologies.