Middle East outreach seminar on HCoC in Amman

28 September 2016

On 28 September 2016, the FRS organised, in collaboration with the Arab Institute for Security Studies (ACSIS), a regional outreach seminar in Amman directed towards non-subscribing states in the region. This event was held at the University of Jordan.

AGENDA

WELCOMING REMARKS 

  • Dr. Ayman KHALIL, Director, ACSIS
  • Alexandre HOUDAYER, Secretary General, Foundation for Strategic Research
  • Egidijus NAVIKAS, Head of Politics, Press and Information Section, Delegation of the European Union to Jordan
  • H.E. Azamat BERDIBAY, Ambassador of Kazakhstan to Jordan

 

I/ THE HCoC AGAINST THE PROLIFERATION OF BALLISTIC MISSILES: UNIVERSALITY, IMPLEMENTATION & VISIBILITY

  • Bruno HANSES, Senior Expert, European External Action Service
  • Nurken URMANTAYEV, Counsellor, Department for Multilateral Cooperation, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Kazakhstan
  • Qasim Ali HUSSEIN, Head of the Delivery Means Department at the Iraqi National Monitoring Authority for Non-proliferation, Iraq
  • Dr. Bernd KUBBIG, Coordinator, Academic Peace Orchestra Middle East

 

KEY ISSUES:

  • Presentation by current HCoC Chair of progress and challenges relating to universality, implementation, and visibility
  • The role of the Code and other TCBMs in regional dynamics and the regional security environment: the view of a Middle East signatory country
  • The concrete meaning of implementing the HCoC, as perceived by a signatory state
  • Successes and challenges of the HCoC in today’s environment

 

II/ CURRENT TRENDS CONCERNING SPACE LAUNCH TECHNOLOGIES & CAPABILITIES: DYNAMICS OF SPACE LAUNCH AND FUTURE USES OF SPACE APPLICATIONS 

  • Alexandre HOUNDAYER, Secretary General, Foundation for Strategic Research
  • Karlygash AKHMETOVA, Senior expert of the International Space Law Directorate of the Aerospace Committee, Kazakhstan

 

KEY ISSUES:

  • The characteristics of the development of space launch technologies
  • The evolution of the satellite industry and its impact upon the space launch sector
  • Interactions between the Code and a civilian space programme

 

III/ CURRENT TRENDS CONCERNING BALLISTIC MISSILES TECHNOLOGIES AND PROLIFERATION: GENERAL & REGIONAL VIEWS

  • Gawdat BAHGAT, National Defense University, United States
  • Dennis GORMLEY, University of Pittsburgh, United States
  • Dr. Sitki EGELI, Izmir University of Economics, Turkey

 

KEY ISSUES:

  • The current regional state of play in the ballistic-missile field
  • Issues and challenges arising from this context
  • Proliferation rationales in the Middle East
  • Issues arising from dual-use technologies and related strategies
  • Comparative perspectives between the implementation and challenges of the HCoC and the WMDFZ in the Middle East Initiative

 

KEYNOTE SPEAKER: 

  • Al Sharif Nasser BIN NASSER, Head of the CBRN CoE in Jordan
    • Fighting WMD Proliferation in the Middle East

 

CONCLUDING REMARKS 

  • Dr. Jean-François DAGUZAN, Deputy Director, FRS
  • Dr. Ayman KHALIL, Director, ACSIS
  • Bruno HANSES, EEAS

The seminar was echoed in the following article published in the Jordanian newspaper Ad-Dustour

It was also mentioned on Jordanian national television:

Research Papers

The Rise of Small Launchers: What Impact on Ballistic Missile Proliferation?

This paper recalls the state of ballistic missile proliferation at the time of the adoption of the Code, before delving into the genesis of the Code and especially the various reports and meetings that promoted the adoption of a supply-side multilateral instrument. It describes the conferences and diplomatic efforts that led to the Code in 2002. It also explains why the Code ended up the way it is today with modest ambitions but concrete outcomes.

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Issue Briefs

The HCoC and African States

While both ballistic programmes and the risk posed by these systems remain very limited on the African continent, ballistic missiles inherently constitute a global risk – due to their range and destructive potential. Instruments such as the HCoC, which seek to limit the proliferation of such systems, are therefore relevant for African countries.

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