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Ballistic missile proliferation in the Middle East: What role for CBMs such as the HCoC? - HCoC

Ballistic missile proliferation in the Middle East: What role for CBMs such as the HCoC?

17 May 2022

Dubai

On 17 May 2022, FRS experts met with a delegation of researchers and officials from the United Arab Emirates in Dubai (UAE). The meeting aimed at discussing about trends in missile proliferation in the region, the benefits of joining the Code for states of the region, the challenges facing the Code, as well as to exchange perspectives on dual-use technologies control.

AGENDA

09:00 – 10:15        Ballistic Proliferation and Security in the Middle East

  • Welcoming Address / Introductory Remarks: Levallois & EU Representative & Mr. Mohamed Baharoon
  • Moderator: Mohamed Baharoon
  • Key Issues:
  • Ballistic missile proliferation trends and dynamics in the region
  • Factor of proliferation and security challenges linked to the use of ballistic missile in regional conflicts
  • Mitigation strategies and perspectives

 

10:30 – 11:30        The Hague Code of Conduct (HCoC): a tool to regulate destabilizing weapons and promote peaceful uses?

  • Introductory Remarks: Alexandre Houdaye
  • Moderator: Sheikha Najla Alqassimi
  • Key Issues:
  • Contribution of the Code to international security
  • Being a Subscribing State: commitments and benefits
  • Day-to-day implementation of the Code
  • What opportunities for joining the Code? What constraints?

 

11:45 – 01:00        Enhancing security while fostering the peaceful uses of space & final remarks & final remarks

  • Introductory Remarks: Omran Sharaf
  • Moderator: Emmanuelle Maitre
  • Key Issues:
  • Dual-use nature of launching technologies
  • Current trends in space and developments in the Gulf
  • Interest of transparency and confidence building measures to promote the peaceful use of space.
Research Papers

The Rise of Small Launchers: What Impact on Ballistic Missile Proliferation?

This paper recalls the state of ballistic missile proliferation at the time of the adoption of the Code, before delving into the genesis of the Code and especially the various reports and meetings that promoted the adoption of a supply-side multilateral instrument. It describes the conferences and diplomatic efforts that led to the Code in 2002. It also explains why the Code ended up the way it is today with modest ambitions but concrete outcomes.

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Research Papers

Harnessing Transparency Potential for Missile Non-Proliferation

Information is key for non-proliferation efforts. But the times when information was the exclusive purview of governments are over. Affordable, commercial and open-source monitoring capabilities empower states and societies alike, while challenging the ability of governments to preserve secrecy. Technological democratisation means that information is practically becoming a public good. And it allows for unprecedented transparency.

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