Expert Mission on the HCoC with the Republic of South Sudan

4 March 2021

Hybrid

On 4 March 2021, the FRS and representatives from the government of South Sudan discussed over ballistic missile proliferation and the role of the Hague Code of Conduct. This event took the form of a hybrid event with representatives of South Sudan gathering in Juba and experts from FRS, the EU, the Swiss Chair, Austria and the ISS-Africa presenting virtually.

This mission was part of a series of targeted national visits.

AGENDA 

INTRODUCTION & WELCOMING REMARKS 

  • John CHIEK BUM KLZIER, Director for Security Research, Analysis and Policy Formulation, Bureau for Community Security and Small Arms Control, South Sudan
  • Alexandre HOUDAYER, Secretary General, FRS
  • Georgios KRITIKOS, Deputy Head of Division, Disarmament, Non-proliferation and Arms Export Control, EEAS, EU
  • Lt. Gen. Andrew KUOL NYUON GEW, Chairperson of the Bureau for Community Security and Small Arms Control, South Sudan

 

I/ The HCoC: A MULTILATERAL INSTRUMENT TO CURB THE PROLIFERATION OF MISSILES

PRESENTERS:

  • Nicolas PLATTNER, Head Arms Control, Disarmament and Non-Proliferation,Federal Department of Foreign Affairs, Switzerland – on behalf of the HCoCChairmanship
  • George-Wilhelm GALLHOFER, Minister, Representative of the HCoC Immediate Central Contact, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Austria

II/ INSERTING THE CODE INTO REGIONAL NON-PROLIFERATION & DISARMAMENT PRIORITIES 

PRESENTERS:

  • Emmanuelle MAITRE, Research Fellow, FRS
  • Lauriane HEAU, European Projects Manager, FRS
  • Gugu DUBE, Research Fellow, Institute for Security Studies (ISS Africa)
Other publications

Le Code de conduite de La Haye contre la prolifération des missiles balistiques. Le régime qui n’existait pas ?

The Hague Code of Conduct against Ballistic Missile Proliferation, launched in November 2002, established itself as the first political and truly multilateral initiative on non-proliferation in the field of missiles. He succeeded in laying down principles of universal scope in a field which was totally lacking in them and in establishing confidence-building measures which could serve as a model for countries not yet signatories.

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The Houthis and AI-assisted ballistic proliferation

A Yemeni engineering cell, probably linked to the Houthis, used Claude to develop guided-weapons software. Anthropic identified three programmes: smartphone-based homing guidance for a guided rocket, a ballistic missile with a range of at least 2,000 km, and work on a hypersonic glide vehicle. This brief argues that AI’s main value lies in shortening the loop between design, testing and the next iteration.

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Research Papers

Harnessing Transparency Potential for Missile Non-Proliferation

Information is key for non-proliferation efforts. But the times when information was the exclusive purview of governments are over. Affordable, commercial and open-source monitoring capabilities empower states and societies alike, while challenging the ability of governments to preserve secrecy. Technological democratisation means that information is practically becoming a public good. And it allows for unprecedented transparency.

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