Webinar - The Shield and the Sword: The Impact of Ballistic Missile Defence on Missile Proliferation

3 December 2025

3:00 PM CET

Online

 

 

Join us to explore the interactions between missile defence and missile proliferation, as well as how arms control, non-proliferation, and confidence-building measures may be used to mitigate these dynamics.

INVITATION

The multiplication of missile strikes in conflicts on a massive scale and the deterioration of strategic relations between major powers have produced a renewed interest in the acquisition of missile defence systems. The Trump administration has quite explicitly expressed this interest with the launch of the ‘Golden Dome’ programme. 

Missile defence acquisition and deployment are largely justified by the dissemination of missile technologies worldwide. Some of their promoters have asserted that they may bring stability or even contribute to curbing missile proliferation. However, the spread and increased capacity of missile are also playing a role in missile proliferation. 

Indeed, countries operating missile forces are incentivised to increase and improve their arsenals in the hope of overcoming defensive architectures. Missiles are also becoming more sophisticated to avoid interception. 

Finally, the development of missile defence is provoking a negative spiral regarding the militarisation of space.

First Session: Role of the HCoC in a tense international environment

 MODERATOR:

  • Mr Etienne Marcuz, Associate Fellow, FRS


PANELLISTS:

  • Ms Emmanuelle Maitre, Senior Research Fellow, FRS
  • Prof. Sitki Egeli, Associate Professor, Izmir University of Economics
  • Ms Zuzanna Gwadera, Research Analyst and Programme Administrator, IISS-UK
Research Papers

Harnessing Transparency Potential for Missile Non-Proliferation

Information is key for non-proliferation efforts. But the times when information was the exclusive purview of governments are over. Affordable, commercial and open-source monitoring capabilities empower states and societies alike, while challenging the ability of governments to preserve secrecy. Technological democratisation means that information is practically becoming a public good. And it allows for unprecedented transparency.

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