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FRS is implementing an EU-funded project on the HCoC and ballistic missile proliferation. Find out more here

Latest events

The seminar on 5 December 2025 in Geneva successfully gathered international experts and diplomats to address the evolving relevance of the HCoC. Discussions focused on how the Code can adapt to new geopolitical and technological challenges to reinforce its critical role in transparency and restraint.

On 3 December 2025, FRS organised an online webinar to discuss the critical dynamics between missile defence systems and global proliferation, anchored in the findings of the HCoC Research Paper N°15, “The Shield and the Sword”. The session highlighted the paradox that missile defences, while essential for protection, create incentives for adversaries to expand and sophisticate their arsenals, addressing resulting risks such as space militarisation and the necessity of confidence-building measures.

On 25-26 November 2025, the FRS, in cooperation with the Department of International Relations & Cooperation (DIRCO), hosted a Regional Seminar in Pretoria dedicated to ‘Missile Proliferation: What Role for Confidence-Building Measures Such as the HCOC?’. Representatives from South Africa , as well as governmental delegates from regional countries (including Angola, Democratic Republic of Congo, Kenya, Namibia, Eswatini, Lesotho, Madagascar, Malawi, Mauritius, Zambia, and Zimbabwe) , and officials from international organisations and other experts took part in this event.

On 25 November 2025, as part of our regional seminar in South Africa, participants were received at the South African Air Force Museum, located at the Air Force Base Swartkop (Pretoria). They attended a presentation by Andre Buys on South Africa’s Ballistic Missile Programme and its dismantlement.

LATEST PUBLICATIONS

The Shield and the Sword: The Impact of Ballistic Missile Defence on Missile Proliferation

Missile defence has become increasingly attractive in recent years, following the demonstration of its efficacity in the Israeli-Iranian conflict, and has epitomised by the ambitious Golden Dome programme. However, its relationship with missile proliferation is ambiguous. Arms control, non-proliferation and confidence building measures can to some extent address some of the most destabilizing features of this offense-defence competition.

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Overcoming current and future challenges linked to missile proliferation: Prospective analysis and possible ways forward for the HCoC

This report, written by the HCoC Youth Group, addresses four dimensions of missile proliferation: regional concerns, transfer to non-state actors, transformation of regulatory tools, and relations to space security. It studies in particular how these developments could impact the way the Hague Code of Conduct tackles missile proliferation and proposes ways forward.

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